If anyone can tell me how news stations are able to declare one candidate or another the "winner" of a state with <10% of the votes in I would greatly appreciate it. Is it just a simple matter of meeting past trends (i.e. 95% of the time the leader after x% is the final winner) or is it a NASCAR type deal where the percentages only accounts for the "offical results" while the unofficial race results are available right after the checkered flag (or in this case, the voting is done)?
Sorry for the run-on. Maybe this will help:
Is it just a simple matter of meeting past trends
(i.e. 95% of the time the leader after x% is the final winner)
or
is it a NASCAR type deal where the percentages only accounts for the "offical results"
while the unofficial race results are available right after the checkered flag
(or in this case, the voting is done)?
Or are they just a bunch of stupids?
1 comment:
There is a formula of some kind and it's a combination of statistics and probability. It, as we learned in 2000, is not absolute and there have been times when the state has to be rescinded and isn't called for a while, etc. (See New Mexico primary 2008)
My favorite is how the popular vote of the country doesn't always elect the president.
Hey look! I did listen in Govt.
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